Abebookscom the prosecutors fallacy the reliability of dna and fingerprint evidence the prosecutors fallacy the reliability of dna and fingerprint evidence 9781496054296 by martin allen and a great selection of similar new used and collectible books available now at great prices. Norman explained the prosecutors fallacy as follows suppose a crime has been committed and that the criminal has left some physical evidence such as some of their blood at the scene suppose the blood type is such that only 1 in every 1000 people has the matching type a suspect x who matches the blood type is put on trial. 1 prosecutors fallacy prosecuting counsel arguing according to his favourite fallacy asserts that the probability that jack is guilty is 1 p or 0996 and that this proves guilt beyond a reasonable doubt. Prosecutor and defense fallacies two common fallacies might arise in connection with statistical evidence the prosecutors fallacy and the defense fallacy the prosecutors fallacy is when the context in which the accused has been brought to court is falsely assumed to be irrelevant when weighing the evidence for example an analyst may
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